Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.001461 0.001556 0.001654 0.001763 0.001881 0.002004 0.002143
2024-10-06 0.001321 0.001451 0.001590 0.001750 0.001929 0.002124 0.002354
2024-10-13 0.001227 0.001381 0.001550 0.001750 0.001982 0.002242 0.002560
2024-10-20 0.001132 0.001299 0.001486 0.001714 0.001985 0.002299 0.002691
2024-10-27 0.001070 0.001248 0.001454 0.001709 0.002019 0.002387 0.002859
2024-11-03 0.000989 0.001170 0.001383 0.001651 0.001985 0.002388 0.002917
2024-11-10 0.000955 0.001146 0.001374 0.001667 0.002037 0.002495 0.003110
2024-11-17 0.000910 0.001106 0.001342 0.001651 0.002049 0.002549 0.003235
2024-11-24 0.000884 0.001087 0.001336 0.001666 0.002098 0.002652 0.003426
2024-12-01 0.000841 0.001044 0.001297 0.001637 0.002088 0.002675 0.003511
2024-12-08 0.000808 0.001013 0.001270 0.001621 0.002094 0.002720 0.003625
2024-12-15 0.000778 0.000985 0.001247 0.001609 0.002104 0.002767 0.003743
2024-12-22 0.000752 0.000963 0.001233 0.001612 0.002138 0.002857 0.003936
2024-12-29 0.000722 0.000934 0.001209 0.001600 0.002151 0.002916 0.004088
2025-01-05 0.000699 0.000913 0.001194 0.001600 0.002180 0.003000 0.004280
2025-01-12 0.000666 0.000877 0.001158 0.001568 0.002162 0.003014 0.004366
2025-01-19 0.000645 0.000857 0.001142 0.001563 0.002182 0.003084 0.004542
2025-01-26 0.000609 0.000815 0.001095 0.001511 0.002131 0.003044 0.004543
2025-02-02 0.000597 0.000806 0.001093 0.001525 0.002177 0.003153 0.004784
2025-02-09 0.000577 0.000785 0.001073 0.001511 0.002180 0.003196 0.004920
2025-02-16 0.000567 0.000777 0.001071 0.001524 0.002225 0.003305 0.005171
2025-02-23 0.000545 0.000752 0.001044 0.001498 0.002208 0.003314 0.005254
2025-03-02 0.000528 0.000733 0.001026 0.001484 0.002209 0.003353 0.005389